Stanford Brown's Market Insights

Welcome back to a special edition of the SB Talks podcast! In today's episode, CEO Vincent O’Neill speaks with Chief Investment Officer Nick Ryder to explore Nick’s recent fixed income review and dissect the current economic landscape. Australia’s inflation numbers have come in hotter than expected, opening discussions as to whether the RBA is done with rate rises yet. Nick provides valuable insights into the factors driving inflation, the impact on interest rates, and the delicate balance between preserving economic growth and taming inflation. From high-quality government bonds to investment grade and high yield corporate credit, the recent fixed income review underscores the importance of different portfolio construction tools, such as government bonds, corporate credit, and both fixed and floating rate instruments to navigate evolving market conditions. Music provided by: Autumn Trumpet Background Corporate by LesFM | https://lesfm.net/ Music promoted by https://www.chosic.com/free-music/all/ Creative

In this episode of Meet the Investor, Joey Mouracadeh sits down with John Seo, founder and portfolio manager at Fermat Capital Management to uncover the world of catastrophe bonds. Drawing from decades of experience, John sheds light on Fermat’s journey from Wall Street to pioneering alternative investments. John elucidates on the inception of catastrophe bonds, their role in insurance markets, and Fermat's risk management strategies. From navigating natural disasters to addressing climate change impacts, John offers valuable insights into the evolving landscape of alternative investments. Music provided by: Autumn Trumpet Background Corporate by LesFM | https://lesfm.net/ Music promoted by https://www.chosic.com/free-music/all/ Creative Commons CC BY 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

This week on the SB Talks Podcast CEO Vincent O’Neill is joined by CIO Nick Ryder as they discuss the latest economic developments shaping global markets. Vin and Nick examine the recent pullback in equity markets and the outlook for equities going forward. March’s CPI numbers are in, and they have exceeded market expectations, prompting speculation about the trajectory of inflation and monetary policy. The pair discuss the IMF's upgraded World Economic Outlook, highlighting growth projections and regional disparities, focussing on US and European economies. Lastly, they analyse China's Q1 GDP data, examining the role of government investment versus consumer sentiment in driving economic performance.   Music provided by: Autumn Trumpet Background Corporate by LesFM | https://lesfm.net/ Music promoted by https://www.chosic.com/free-music/all/ Creative Commons CC BY 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

Welcome back to SB Talks! In today's episode, CEO Vincent O’Neill speaks with Chief Investment Officer Nick Ryder to delve into the latest economic developments shaping global markets. The pair explore the insights gleaned from the RBA's March meeting minutes, indicating a potential easing of wage pressures and a cautious optimism regarding inflation and labour market dynamics. They also analyse the changes to the RBA’s plans for a new system of monetary policy implementation. They also discuss recent Australian housing market dynamics and the resurgence in global manufacturing activity, evidenced by robust data from the U.S., Europe, and China. Nick shares insights on the implications for equity markets and the overall economic outlook amid these developments. Music provided by: Autumn Trumpet Background Corporate by LesFM | https://lesfm.net/ Music promoted by https://www.chosic.com/free-music/all/ Creative Commons CC BY 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

In this episode of Meet the Manager, host Joey sits down with Jason Howes, Senior Fund Manager at Dexus, to delve into the intricacies of the Australian property market. With over 25 years of experience, Jason shares valuable insights into the evolving landscape, from structural shifts to cyclical opportunities. They explore the impact of rising interest rates, disruptions caused by remote work trends, and the dichotomy between residential and commercial sectors. From identifying cyclical opportunities to leveraging Dexus' capabilities, Jason provides a comprehensive outlook on navigating disruptions and seizing investment prospects in Australia's dynamic property market. Music provided by: Autumn Trumpet Background Corporate by LesFM | https://lesfm.net/ Music promoted by https://www.chosic.com/free-music/all/ Creative Commons CC BY 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

In this episode of the SB Talks podcast, CEO Vincent O’Neill sits down with CIO Nick Ryder to discuss the latest in global economics. They examine the recent RBA rate pause decision and the nuanced shifts in central bank language. They delve into the Bank of Japan’s departure from its negative interest rate policy (NIRP) and the outcome of the recent Shunto wage negotiations. Lastly, they discuss Stanford Brown’s comprehensive Fixed Income Sector Review and the intricacies of investing in cash, investment grade and high-yield credit as well as government bonds, all with an eye toward improving portfolio diversification, capital stability, liquidity and income generation.   Music provided by: Autumn Trumpet Background Corporate by LesFM | https://lesfm.net/ Music promoted by https://www.chosic.com/free-music/all/ Creative Commons CC BY 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

This week Stanford Brown CEO Vincent O'Neill meets once again with CIO Nick Ryder to discuss the key takeaways from the Australian reporting season, focusing on dividends, cost control, property sector dynamics, and broader corporate sentiment. Nick provides insights into China's growth targets amidst economic challenges, including discussions on fiscal policies. The pair examine the strong performance of U.S. equities and recent inflation trends. Lastly, Apple reported a significant drop in sales in China, reflecting broader economic weakness. Join us for an insightful view of global markets. Music provided by: Autumn Trumpet Background Corporate by LesFM | https://lesfm.net/ Music promoted by https://www.chosic.com/free-music/all/ Creative Commons CC BY 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

In this episode of the Meet the Investor podcast, host Joey Mouracadeh sits down with Michael Smith, Partner and Co-Head at Ares Global Credit Group. From his extensive experience spanning 25 years, Michael offers a deep dive into the evolution of private credit and Ares' pivotal role within it. Discover how Ares strategically shifted towards financing leveraged buyouts, gaining unparalleled expertise in direct lending. Explore the nuances of this dynamic asset class, including portfolio integration and future trends. Music provided by: Autumn Trumpet Background Corporate by LesFM | https://lesfm.net/ Music promoted by https://www.chosic.com/free-music/all/ Creative Commons CC BY 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

This week on SB Talks, Stanford Brown CEO Vincent O'Neill is joined by CIO Nick Ryder to explore the latest trends in global investment markets. In this episode, they dissect NVIDIA's impressive earnings report, delving into the company's exponential revenue growth and the underlying factors driving its success in the AI chip market.  Transitioning to Japan, the Nikkei reached a new all-time high after 35 years, shedding light on Japan's economic resurgence and the factors propelling its stock market to new heights. From there, attention shifts to Australia’s earnings reporting season and China's surprise rate cut aimed at stabilizing the property market amidst deflationary pressures. Music provided by: Autumn Trumpet Background Corporate by LesFM | https://lesfm.net/ Music promoted by https://www.chosic.com/free-music/all/ Creative Commons CC BY 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

This week Stanford Brown CEO Vincent O'Neill meets once again with CIO Nick Ryder to cast their eyes over global investment markets. This episode examines the recent RBA rate pause decision, discussing concerns about inflation and its implications for monetary policy. Shifting focus to the U.S., the pair examine the robustness of economic indicators such as non-farm payrolls and manufacturing and services PMIs. Nick provides insights into the ongoing U.S. earnings season, with a specific focus on the performance of the "Magnificent Seven" companies and their revenue growth compared to the broader S&P 500. The discussion then touches upon global market dynamics, including challenges faced by China's stock market and emerging opportunities in India, providing investors with valuable perspectives for navigating the global investment landscape.   Music provided by: Autumn Trumpet Background Corporate by LesFM | https://lesfm.net/ Music promoted by https://www.chosic.com/free-music/all/ Creative Commons CC BY

This week Stanford Brown CEO Vincent O'Neill meets once again with CIO Nick Ryder to discuss the early 2024 highs in the US stock market and the impact of geopolitical events on markets and asset allocation. Nick explores recent shifts in interest rate cut expectations, providing insights into disinflation and the softening in the labour market. The pair delve into oil politics and discuss the inflationary impact of Red Sea shipping disruptions. They examine China’s $278 billion stock market rescue package and weak consumer sentiment. Lastly, they turn to the upcoming US election and how that may affect markets and portfolio construction.

Welcome to the third episode of the Meet the Investor series. In this episode, host Joey Mouracadeh, Senior Investment Director at Stanford Brown Private Wealth, sits down with Steve Byrom, Co-founder of Potentum Partners, a leading investment management firm specializing in global alternative opportunities. Drawing on over 30 years in the private equity realm, Steve delves into the critical aspect of alignment of interest in private equity, offering a nuanced perspective on potential misalignments and the significance of evaluating managers' incentives. He discusses the concept of skill as a key driver of returns in private equity. Venturing into the future, Steve explores the dynamic state of venture capital, highlighting opportunities amid a broad innovation cycle. Music provided by: Autumn Trumpet Background Corporate by LesFM | https://lesfm.net/ Music promoted by https://www.chosic.com/free-music/all/ Creative Commons CC BY 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

This week Stanford Brown CEO Vincent O'Neill meets once again with CIO Nick Ryder to revisit 2023, where they discuss economic resilience and the rollercoaster ride of bond yields. With geopolitical shifts and major elections looming in 2024, the pair analyse global growth prospects, from the US economy's exceptionalism to China's structural challenges. They then dive into nuanced views on equities, cautious bond yield projections and the outlook for real assets. Join us as we close the year with our final episode for 2023.   We wish you a merry holiday season and a very happy new year. See you in 2024.   Music provided by: Autumn Trumpet Background Corporate by LesFM | https://lesfm.net/ Music promoted by https://www.chosic.com/free-music/all/ Creative Commons CC BY 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

Welcome to the second episode of the Meet the Investor series. In this episode, host Joey Mouracadeh, Senior Investment Director at Stanford Brown Private Wealth, sits down with Mario Giannini, Chief Executive Officer at Hamilton Lane, one of the largest private market solutions providers in the world. Demystifying the world of private markets, Mario unveils the essence of Hamilton Lane's growth over the past 32 years and sheds light on the strategic factors behind successful investments, from management partnerships to industry growth. Mario discusses the risk landscape, distinguishing between venture capital's high-risk nature and the lower risk associated with diversified buyout portfolios. He explores innovative evergreen structures and investment strategies like co-investments and secondaries, and provides his opinion on enduring investment strategies for the future.  Join us for this insightful exploration of Hamilton Lane's investment strategies.   Music provided by: Autumn Trumpet Background Corporate

This week Stanford Brown CEO Vincent O'Neill meets once again with CIO Nick Ryder to discuss: The RBA's recent pause post-rate hike The rollercoaster of US bond yields Santa Rally: what it is and what it means for investors   Music provided by: Autumn Trumpet Background Corporate by LesFM | https://lesfm.net/ Music promoted by https://www.chosic.com/free-music/all/ Creative Commons CC BY 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

This week Stanford Brown CEO Vincent O'Neill meets once again with CIO Nick Ryder to discuss: Reasons behind the equity market rebound What weak labour productivity might mean for Australian interest rates Australia’s housing market resilience amid rising listings and prices Can China's developer whitelist cure its property market woes   Music provided by: Autumn Trumpet Background Corporate by LesFM | https://lesfm.net/ Music promoted by https://www.chosic.com/free-music/all/ Creative Commons CC BY 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

This week Stanford Brown CEO Vincent O'Neill meets once again with CIO Nick Ryder to discuss: The RBA’s widely anticipated rate hike and where to from here? Driving factors behind Australia’s higher-than-expected inflation numbers Whether geopolitical risks impact portfolio positioning? The potential for GLP-1 “wonder drugs” to impact different companies such as Resmed and CSL    Music provided by: Autumn Trumpet Background Corporate by LesFM | https://lesfm.net/ Music promoted by https://www.chosic.com/free-music/all/ Creative Commons CC BY 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

Welcome to the inaugural episode of the Meet the Investor series. In this episode, host Joey Mouracadeh, Senior Investment Director at Stanford Brown Private Wealth, sits down with Justin Miller, Product Specialist at Oaktree Capital Management, one of the world’s leading alternative investment managers. Justin offers insights into Oaktree’s distressed debt investing approach, managing over $44 billion in assets. They delve into Oaktree’s history, the essence of high-yield bonds, and the dynamics of distressed debt. The conversation concludes with a look at current market conditions and the potential of distressed debt as interest rates rise. Join us for this insightful exploration of Oaktree’s investment strategies.

In this episode, Stanford Brown CEO Vincent O’Neill is again speaking with Stanford Brown Investment Committee member and former RBA Governor Ian Macfarlane AC. We discuss: A resilient economy and elevated inflation No rate cuts until late 2025 The implications for asset prices The transition in RBA Governor to Michele Bullock The far-reaching implications of the RBA Review

This week Stanford Brown CEO Vincent O'Neill meets again with CIO Nick Ryder to discuss the US’s 10-year Treasury note breaking the 5 percent barrier for the first time in 16 years. They delve into reasons behind this surge in long-term yields and how much further they might rise. They also discuss the upcoming September quarter CPI data and its impact on the Reserve Bank of Australia’s interest rate decisions.   Music provided by: Autumn Trumpet Background Corporate by LesFM | https://lesfm.net/ Music promoted by https://www.chosic.com/free-music/all/ Creative Commons CC BY 3.0 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/