Bloomberg Surveillance

Jared Bernstein, Center on Budget and Policy Priorities Senior Fellow and member of Joe Biden's Presidential Transition Team, says delays in the transition process are coming at great cost to public health and the economy. Dr. David Reich, President of The Mount Sinai Hospital and Mount Sinai Queens, says the second wave in New York is a less severe surge than the first wave. Anna Han, Wells Fargo Securities Equity Strategist, says there will be pedestrian growth in 2021 in the U.S. as equity volatility remains elevated. Torsten Slok, Apollo Management Chief Economist, says the dynamism of the U.S. economy is not being impacted despite facing Covid-19 headwinds.

Loretta Mester, Federal Reserve Bank Cleveland President, says she's concerned about the lack of fiscal policy. Patrick Foye, MTA Chairman & CEO, warns of drastic service cuts without aid from Washington. Dr. Jonathan Quick, The Rockefeller Foundation Managing Director for Pandemic Response, Preparedness, and Prevention, says the U.S. is on a grim pathway to over 400,000 coronavirus deaths by March. Nathan Sheets, PGIM Fixed Income Chief Economist & Head of Global Macroeconomic Research, sees a rocky road to recovery.

Gabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says the stars are aligning for a broader set of emerging markets. Michael Kushma, Morgan Stanley Investment Management CIO of Global Fixed Income, says the Fed has been clear about its intentions to support the economy. Dean Curnutt, Macro Risk Advisors CEO, reminds investors to be prepared for the unexpected as 2020 nears its end. Franz-Werner Haas, CureVac CEO, says there will be enough capacity to vaccinate the world until the end of next year.

William Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist & Former New York Fed President, says it is very likely the Fed will extend its emergency loan programs. Mona Mahajan, Allianz Global Investors U.S. Investment Strategist, says bond rates will remain low throughout 2021. Tom Forte, D.A. Davidson Senior Research Analyst, says pharmacy is a trillion-dollar opportunity for Amazon. Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group & GZERO Media President, details challenges facing the new administration as President-elect Biden begins to navigate delicate U.S. foreign relations.

Ben Laidler, Tower Hudson Research CEO, sees growth in rebound in 2021. Dr. Robert Murphy, Northwestern University Professor of Infectious Diseases & Institute for Global Health Executive Director, says the effectiveness of the vaccines from Moderna and Pfizer is way beyond expectations, but the pandemic may not be over for another year. Kathy Hochul, New York Lieutenant Governor, says it may be safer for children to be in schools and back out in their communities. Stephen Stanley, Amherst Pierpont Chief Economist, sees a significant slowdown in job growth over the next several months.

Julian Emanuel, BTIG Chief Equity & Derivatives Strategist, says markets are getting a reality check. James Bevan, CCLA Chief Investment Officer, says an effective Covid-19 vaccine will give global governments the confidence to increase fiscal stimulus measures. Dr. Peter Hotez, Baylor College of Medicine Dean for the National School of Tropical Medicine, says 12 million Americans could receive a Covid-19 vaccine this upcoming January. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Director of Economic Policy Research, says it is not remotely coincidental that China acknowledged Joe Biden as President-Elect just after President Trump's executive order against the country.

David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management Chief Global Strategist, maps out the road ahead for the markets and the economy. Dr. Albert Ko, Yale School of Medicine Department Chair & Professor of Epidemiology and of Medicine, says coronavirus cases in the U.S. have reached an exponential curve in terms of growth. Beata Kirr, Alliance Bernstein Co-Head of Investment Strategies, says growth stocks have led in an extraordinary way throughout the year of 2020. Retired Brigadier General Mark Kimmitt, Former Assistant Secretary of State for Political-Military Affairs, discusses the future of America's defense strategy.

Peter Tchir, Academy Securities Head of Macro Strategy, warns markets seem a little bit complacent amid surging coronavirus cases and legal challenges to the U.S. election outcome. Lawrence Gostin, Georgetown University Professor, says the Trump administration has given up on dealing with the coronavirus and are waiting for a vaccine. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Investment Management Chief Strategist, says growth stocks will carry the market into 2021 with the S&P 500 positioned to power even higher. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman and Co-Founder & Host of "The David Rubenstein Show: Peer-to-Peer Conversations" discusses his interview with Wynton Marsalis, Jazz at Lincoln Center Managing and Artistic Director.

David Ricks, Eli Lilly Chairman & CEO, discusses the drugmaker’s Covid-19 antibody therapy that was granted emergency-use authorization in the U.S. Subadra Rajappa, Societe Generale Head of U.S. Rates Strategy, sees a departure from bonds into risky assets with a lot of cash on the sidelines that needs to be put to work. Kathy Hochul, New York Lieutenant Governor, says having a vaccine does not take the pressure off of further stimulus at all. Sam Stovall, CFRA Chief Investment Strategist, says Wall Street is looking beyond a coronavirus spike with vaccine developments appearing positive.

Matthew Hornbach, Morgan Stanley Global Head of Macro Strategy, says a vaccine has the power to really drive risk assets higher, credit spreads tighter, the equity market higher, emerging-market currencies stronger. Mercedes Carnethon, Northwestern University Professor of Preventive Medicine, discusses the possible effectiveness of the vaccine being developed by Pfizer and BioNTech. Jaret Seiberg, Cowen Senior Policy Analyst, says the U.S. election presented a clear victory for the modern side of the Democratic Party. Daniel Alpert, Westwood Capital Managing Partner, says investors should keep an eye on aggregate demand.

This is a Bloomberg Special Report with Nathan Hager and Amy Morris Joe Biden defeated Donald Trump to become the 46th president of the United States and offered himself to the nation as a leader who “seeks not to divide, but to unify" a country gripped by a historic pandemic and a confluence of economic and social turmoil. In this podcast, we examine the vote, the legal battle and the path ahead for White House policy. GUESTS: June Grasso Bloomberg Law Host Terry Haines Pangaea Policy Founder Gregory Giroux Bloomberg Government Reporter Emily Wilkins Bloomberg Government Reporter

This is a Bloomberg Daybreak Special Report with Nathan Hager, Amy Morris and Michael Barr. The votes are still being counted and legal challenges remain, but the path to the White House is there for Vice President Joe Biden. In this podcast, we examine the vote, the legal battle and the path ahead for White House policy. Plus, how the next steps could play out in the days and weeks leading up to December's Electoral College vote.

Lara Brown, George Washington University Associate Professor and Director of the Graduate School of Political Management, discusses leadership and the American presidency. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Portfolio Manager of the Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, says the economy is strengthening and stimulus is naturally occurring as the labor markets heal. Wendy Schiller, Brown University Chair of Political Science, says the Republican Party did well overall on election night and represent a stable alternative to what the Democratic Party has been offering. Julia Coronado, MacroPolicy Perspectives President and Founder, discusses the recovery dynamic of the labor market.

Mike Schumacher, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Macro Strategy, says a blue wave has been priced out of markets for the time being. Frederic Mishkin, Former Federal Reserve Governor, discusses the pressure facing the Fed as investors await the final outcome of the U.S. presidential election. Peter Hooper, Deutsche Bank Securities Global Head of Economic Research, says the latest jobless claims figures show the labor market is not improving further. Mary Barra, General Motors Chairman & CEO, says there is a strong and growing demand for trucks in the U.S.

Mark Schweiker, Former Pennsylvania Governor, says there is a consensus in Washington around a broad stimulus package post-election cycle. Christopher Harvey, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Equity Strategy, says the Senate race is most important because that is where fiscal stimulus and taxes come in to play. Jim Bianco, Bianco Research President, sees Treasury yields moving lower in the short term but expects higher yields going into mid-2021. Julie Norman, University College London Professor, says a Biden administration would bring a more stable and predictable foreign policy for the United States. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, discusses where he's investing in the wake of the election.

Marty Walsh, Mayor of Boston, says there has been very little assistance from Washington through the pandemic in regards to PPE and preparing residents for the future. Stephanie Kelly, Aberdeen Standard Investments Senior Political Economist, says populism in Italy will be a key political risk to watch next year. Michael Zezas, Morgan Stanley Head of U.S. Policy Research & Municipal Strategist, discusses possible outcomes of the U.S. election. James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Chief Economist, says household cash flows and incomes will be restricted without new help from the government.

Michael Shaoul, Marketfield Asset Management CEO & Portfolio Manager, says it takes a leap of faith to invest at this point in time. Diana Amoa, JPMorgan Investment Management Senior Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, says investors need to think beyond traditional hedges right now. Brian Klaas, University College London Associate Professor in Global Politics, says there is a pendulum shift happening in the United States away from populism. Daniel Ahn, BNP Paribas Chief U.S. Economist & Head of Markets 360 North America, says there are significant downside risks that will impair U.S. growth moving forward.

James Athey, Aberdeen Standard Investments Senior Investment Manager, says FX has been been a good diversifier and hedge ahead of the U.S. election. Daniel Ives, Wedbush Senior Equity Research Analyst, explains why he remains bullish on tech. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says consumers are looking at the prospect of a resurgence of coronavirus and are deploying wealth into savings rather than spending. Rob Falzon, Prudential Financial Vice Chair, says many companies are extending out the time they believe employees will be in a remote environment, where productivity has held up well.

Leslie Vinjamuri, Chatham House Head of U.S. and the Americas Programme, says voters are viewing the pandemic through two different lenses: a health crisis or an economic crisis. David Lebovitz, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says inflation in the short-term is not a risk and will remain in check through the long-term. Alberto Gallo, Algebris Investments Portfolio Manager, says there are no safe havens anymore. Jim Suva, Citi Senior Tech Analyst, applauds Tim Cook for diversifying Apple's product portfolio.

Troy Gayeski, Skybridge Capital Co-CIO, says technology stocks have been a significant profit driver for the market but remain overcrowded. Daniel Morris, BNP Paribas Asset Management Chief Market Strategist, says a W-shaped recovery is likely to occur in Europe and potentially the U.S. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, says the euro is the on the back foot amid anxiety ahead of this week's ECB meeting. David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Chairman and Co-Founder and Host of "The David Rubenstein Show: Peer-to-Peer Conversations," discusses his interview with Alex Gorsky, Johnson & Johnson Chairman and CEO.