Jsedirect With Simon Brown

US 10-year highest yield since 2007 is bad news for almost everybody (#558)

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Synopsis

US 10-year yields highest since 2007 Bad news all round (unless you buying). Almost 40% of US government debt expires in the next four years and will be re-issued at markedly higher rates, 9x higher in some cases. Money flowing into US bonds for yield. This sees less money entering the stock market Sees a stronger US$ (check DXY strength, all currncies weaker against US$) Hits valuations lower as higher rates makes cash worth less in the future, but so far the market has ignored this fact. Simon Shares The Top40 closed negative for the year on Tuesday. This after being almost +12% in late January and trading at all-time highs. Top40 close 26 September 2023, negative YTD Fed and SARB hold rates steady - but very hawkish. StatsSA "South African hotels recorded an occupancy rate of 47.3% in July 2023, up from 45.8% in June and 45.5% in May.". But still below the ±50% pre-pandemic occupancy levels.